The WTO raised its forecast for world merchandise trade volume growth in 2026 to 3.9%, from 1.9% in March. It cited stronger AI-related investment and supply-chain adaptation. The services outlook moved in the other direction: projected growth fell to 3.3% as transport and travel faced disruption. The WTO stresses that gains are not evenly distributed across regions or sectors.

Perspective

Goods flows, services capacity, and logistics costs can diverge. Cross-border transactions need practical attention to routes, timing, and counterparties.

Source & attribution
World Trade Organization · 8 October 2026
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This is an original summary of third-party reporting. The perspective paragraph is editorial interpretation. Source organizations are not represented as LME partners or endorsers. Forecasts reflect their publication date and may change.